NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MIN
Points 106.7 109.5
Total Points   216.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 52.2
Points From 3-Pointers 32.3 40.1
Points From Free Throws 18.6 17.2
Shooting NO MIN
Field Goals Made 38.6 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 83.9
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 18.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 22.2
Free Throw % 76.9% 77.4%
Ball Control NO MIN
Rebounds 48.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.4
Turnovers 12.4 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.0
Steals 7.5 6.1
Fouls 17.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MIN
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 97.0
% of Possessions with NO MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.8%
Turnover 12.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MIN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.3%