NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MIN
Points 105.6 110.1
Total Points   215.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 39.8
Points From Free Throws 18.3 17.5
Shooting NO MIN
Field Goals Made 38.2 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 82.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 18.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 22.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control NO MIN
Rebounds 47.0 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.9
Turnovers 12.6 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.7
Steals 7.6 6.4
Fouls 18.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MIN
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 96.0
% of Possessions with NO MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.3%
Turnover 12.6% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MIN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.8%