NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO GS
Points 116.6 113.7
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 52.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 45.7
Points From Free Throws 18.1 15.3
Shooting NO GS
Field Goals Made 42.9 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 90.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 42.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 20.0
Free Throw % 76.9% 76.4%
Ball Control NO GS
Rebounds 49.5 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.3
Turnovers 11.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.5
Steals 7.4 5.3
Fouls 16.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO GS
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 102.2
% of Possessions with NO GS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 36.7%
Player Fouled 16.7% 15.8%
Turnover 11.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO GS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.2%