NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO GS
Points 113.1 114.3
Total Points   227.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 49.9
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 47.5
Points From Free Throws 20.5 16.8
Shooting NO GS
Field Goals Made 40.8 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 87.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 25.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 44.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 20.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 21.3
Free Throw % 80.3% 78.9%
Ball Control NO GS
Rebounds 49.7 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.8
Turnovers 13.2 15.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.9
Steals 8.0 6.6
Fouls 17.7 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO GS
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 100.8
% of Possessions with NO GS
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 37.9%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.9%
Turnover 12.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO GS
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 24.0%