NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO GS
Points 114.4 113.9
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.4 53.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 45.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.9
Shooting NO GS
Field Goals Made 42.0 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 88.7
Field Goal % 47.4% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 41.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 19.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.7%
Ball Control NO GS
Rebounds 48.3 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.5
Turnovers 11.2 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 7.5 5.5
Fouls 15.6 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO GS
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 100.3
% of Possessions with NO GS
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 36.0%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.5%
Turnover 11.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO GS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.6%