NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO WAS
Points 122.5 110.0
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 69.4 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 38.9
Points From Free Throws 19.6 15.1
Shooting NO WAS
Field Goals Made 45.8 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 88.6
Field Goal % 51.2% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 34.7 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 49.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.5 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 19.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 19.7
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.8%
Ball Control NO WAS
Rebounds 52.8 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.4
Turnovers 11.9 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.8
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 16.2 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO WAS
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 99.6
% of Possessions with NO WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 33.6%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.6%
Turnover 11.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO WAS
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 19.0%