NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET PHI
Points 101.2 114.0
Total Points   215.2
Points From 2-Pointers 51.0 62.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 30.6
Points From Free Throws 19.3 20.7
Shooting DET PHI
Field Goals Made 35.8 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 83.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.3 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 27.6
Free Throw % 75.3% 74.9%
Ball Control DET PHI
Rebounds 45.6 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.9
Turnovers 15.1 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.8 7.3
Steals 6.2 8.7
Fouls 20.9 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET PHI
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.4 100.1
% of Possessions with DET PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 23.4%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.5%
Turnover 14.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET PHI
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 23.7%