NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET PHI
Points 107.9 117.7
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 62.1
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 34.1
Points From Free Throws 19.1 21.5
Shooting DET PHI
Field Goals Made 39.1 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 87.8
Field Goal % 45.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 31.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 19.1 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 26.2
Free Throw % 78.3% 81.9%
Ball Control DET PHI
Rebounds 48.6 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.3
Turnovers 14.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 7.2
Steals 5.2 8.6
Fouls 17.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET PHI
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 102.6
% of Possessions with DET PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 27.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.6%
Turnover 14.1% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET PHI
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 23.8%