NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET CHI
Points 110.6 118.0
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 66.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 32.5
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.7
Shooting DET CHI
Field Goals Made 40.0 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 88.8
Field Goal % 46.6% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 23.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.3%
Ball Control DET CHI
Rebounds 47.1 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.9
Turnovers 13.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.6
Steals 5.6 8.4
Fouls 18.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET CHI
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 102.5
% of Possessions with DET CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 26.1%
Player Fouled 15.9% 17.8%
Turnover 13.5% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET CHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 23.3%