NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET CLE
Points 106.7 117.3
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 38.1
Points From Free Throws 16.8 17.8
Shooting DET CLE
Field Goals Made 39.4 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 86.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 23.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.0%
Ball Control DET CLE
Rebounds 46.5 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.9
Turnovers 13.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.1
Steals 6.5 8.0
Fouls 18.6 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET CLE
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 99.5
% of Possessions with DET CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 30.3%
Player Fouled 14.7% 18.4%
Turnover 13.4% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET CLE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 21.8%