NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET BOS
Points 110.5 110.3
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 44.5
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.9
Shooting DET BOS
Field Goals Made 39.4 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 89.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 46.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 42.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 22.8
Free Throw % 75.8% 78.6%
Ball Control DET BOS
Rebounds 52.8 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 15.6
Turnovers 12.2 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.4 6.1
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 18.5 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET BOS
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 103.3
% of Possessions with DET BOS
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 36.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.4%
Turnover 12.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET BOS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 29.5%