NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET BOS
Points 109.5 117.5
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 54.4
Points From Free Throws 15.0 18.1
Shooting DET BOS
Field Goals Made 40.9 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 88.6
Field Goal % 44.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 18.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 47.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.0 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 80.8%
Ball Control DET BOS
Rebounds 51.7 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.4
Turnovers 12.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.5
Steals 6.4 7.4
Fouls 18.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET BOS
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 101.8
% of Possessions with DET BOS
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 41.4%
Player Fouled 15.0% 17.8%
Turnover 12.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET BOS
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.9%