NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET LAC
Points 110.9 121.6
Total Points   232.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 36.8
Points From Free Throws 17.3 21.6
Shooting DET LAC
Field Goals Made 40.9 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 84.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 26.1
Free Throw % 79.1% 82.9%
Ball Control DET LAC
Rebounds 46.6 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.4
Turnovers 13.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.7
Steals 5.7 8.2
Fouls 19.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET LAC
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 99.9
% of Possessions with DET LAC
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 15.6% 19.3%
Turnover 12.9% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET LAC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 21.6%