NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET LAC
Points 108.7 120.3
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 35.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 20.8
Shooting DET LAC
Field Goals Made 40.0 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 85.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 17.3 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 25.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 83.5%
Ball Control DET LAC
Rebounds 45.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.1
Turnovers 12.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.5
Steals 6.1 8.1
Fouls 18.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET LAC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 100.1
% of Possessions with DET LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.0%
Turnover 12.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET LAC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 23.0%