NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET ATL
Points 117.9 121.6
Total Points   239.5
Points From 2-Pointers 63.1 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 38.1
Points From Free Throws 17.9 20.4
Shooting DET ATL
Field Goals Made 43.8 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 89.9
Field Goal % 49.7% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.9 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 26.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.3%
Ball Control DET ATL
Rebounds 47.4 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.1
Turnovers 13.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.1
Steals 6.3 7.9
Fouls 18.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET ATL
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 105.0
% of Possessions with DET ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 15.4% 17.9%
Turnover 13.3% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET ATL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 25.1%