NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET UTA
Points 117.8 121.3
Total Points   239.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 35.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 21.4
Shooting DET UTA
Field Goals Made 43.6 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 87.7
Field Goal % 47.8% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 17.5 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 25.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 83.7%
Ball Control DET UTA
Rebounds 45.6 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.6 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.0
Turnovers 12.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.7 6.2
Steals 6.9 6.7
Fouls 18.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET UTA
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 102.5
% of Possessions with DET UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 15.0% 17.7%
Turnover 11.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET UTA
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 26.3%