NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET SAC
Points 109.1 120.7
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 63.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.9 39.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.6
Shooting DET SAC
Field Goals Made 39.5 44.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 89.2
Field Goal % 46.4% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 23.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 74.6%
Ball Control DET SAC
Rebounds 46.3 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.2
Turnovers 14.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.1
Steals 6.0 8.4
Fouls 18.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET SAC
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 103.2
% of Possessions with DET SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.5%
Turnover 13.7% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET SAC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.6%