NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET SAC
Points 112.2 121.8
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 64.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 38.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 18.5
Shooting DET SAC
Field Goals Made 40.6 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 88.9
Field Goal % 47.2% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 32.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 19.2 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 24.7
Free Throw % 79.1% 74.8%
Ball Control DET SAC
Rebounds 47.3 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.3
Turnovers 14.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.0
Steals 6.0 8.3
Fouls 19.1 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET SAC
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 103.3
% of Possessions with DET SAC
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.4%
Turnover 13.8% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET SAC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 21.9%