NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET LAL
Points 113.8 122.9
Total Points   236.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.9 68.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 33.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 21.5
Shooting DET LAL
Field Goals Made 43.0 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 85.1
Field Goal % 46.1% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 34.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.2 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 27.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.1%
Ball Control DET LAL
Rebounds 48.3 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 7.7
Turnovers 13.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.8
Steals 6.4 7.6
Fouls 20.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET LAL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 100.9
% of Possessions with DET LAL
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 24.8%
Player Fouled 12.9% 19.5%
Turnover 12.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET LAL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 17.8%