NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET ORL
Points 103.9 114.4
Total Points   218.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 62.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 31.0
Points From Free Throws 18.0 20.8
Shooting DET ORL
Field Goals Made 38.0 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 82.6 83.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 27.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 75.9%
Ball Control DET ORL
Rebounds 44.2 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.7
Turnovers 15.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.8
Steals 6.7 8.9
Fouls 20.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET ORL
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 95.9 99.4
% of Possessions with DET ORL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 20.0%
Turnover 15.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET ORL
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 23.7%