NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET DAL
Points 105.6 113.2
Total Points   218.8
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 58.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 37.8
Points From Free Throws 18.7 16.7
Shooting DET DAL
Field Goals Made 37.7 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 86.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 18.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 21.8
Free Throw % 75.3% 76.9%
Ball Control DET DAL
Rebounds 46.8 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.7
Turnovers 12.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.8
Steals 6.4 6.1
Fouls 19.4 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET DAL
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 99.1
% of Possessions with DET DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 31.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.5%
Turnover 12.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET DAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 22.8%