NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET DAL
Points 109.5 121.5
Total Points   231.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 62.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.7 19.0
Shooting DET DAL
Field Goals Made 40.2 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 87.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 25.2
Free Throw % 78.3% 75.6%
Ball Control DET DAL
Rebounds 48.5 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.7
Turnovers 13.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.8
Steals 6.1 7.2
Fouls 20.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET DAL
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 102.4
% of Possessions with DET DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.2% 19.3%
Turnover 13.0% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET DAL
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 20.8%