NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET DEN
Points 107.8 120.2
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 70.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 32.0
Points From Free Throws 18.6 18.2
Shooting DET DEN
Field Goals Made 39.6 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 87.7
Field Goal % 44.9% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 35.0
2 Pointers Attempted 58.9 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 18.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 23.6
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.2%
Ball Control DET DEN
Rebounds 47.2 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.4
Turnovers 12.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.3
Steals 5.6 7.6
Fouls 18.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET DEN
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 101.3
% of Possessions with DET DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 25.1%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.1%
Turnover 12.4% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET DEN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.2%