NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET NO
Points 107.0 118.7
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 65.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 33.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.4
Shooting DET NO
Field Goals Made 39.3 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 86.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.6%
Ball Control DET NO
Rebounds 45.3 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.3
Turnovers 14.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.3
Steals 5.4 8.7
Fouls 17.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET NO
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 100.5
% of Possessions with DET NO
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 15.5% 17.6%
Turnover 13.9% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET NO
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 22.9%