NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET NO
Points 107.8 120.0
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 65.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 34.2
Points From Free Throws 17.5 20.5
Shooting DET NO
Field Goals Made 39.2 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 85.8
Field Goal % 45.5% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 26.6
Free Throw % 79.1% 76.9%
Ball Control DET NO
Rebounds 46.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.0
Turnovers 14.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 5.2 8.8
Fouls 18.8 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET NO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 101.1
% of Possessions with DET NO
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 26.5%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.4%
Turnover 14.2% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET NO
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 22.2%