NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET TOR
Points 116.1 117.5
Total Points   233.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 66.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 32.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.6
Shooting DET TOR
Field Goals Made 43.8 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 88.9
Field Goal % 48.7% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 33.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 57.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.6
Free Throw % 79.1% 75.8%
Ball Control DET TOR
Rebounds 50.4 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.4
Turnovers 14.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.4
Steals 5.7 8.5
Fouls 18.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET TOR
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 102.9
% of Possessions with DET TOR
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 26.7%
Player Fouled 15.3% 17.6%
Turnover 13.8% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET TOR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 21.8%