NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET SA
Points 110.8 117.3
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.5 64.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 35.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.4
Shooting DET SA
Field Goals Made 42.0 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 89.0
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 32.2
2 Pointers Attempted 60.9 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 22.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.6%
Ball Control DET SA
Rebounds 48.5 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.5
Turnovers 13.3 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 7.2
Steals 7.3 7.5
Fouls 17.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET SA
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 102.2
% of Possessions with DET SA
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 28.6%
Player Fouled 13.8% 16.6%
Turnover 12.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET SA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 22.2%