NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET PHO
Points 107.4 120.6
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 64.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.7 35.1
Points From Free Throws 16.7 20.7
Shooting DET PHO
Field Goals Made 39.6 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 84.8
Field Goal % 43.8% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 16.7 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 80.7%
Ball Control DET PHO
Rebounds 45.3 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.2
Turnovers 12.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.5
Steals 7.0 7.9
Fouls 19.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET PHO
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 100.0
% of Possessions with DET PHO
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 14.8% 18.5%
Turnover 12.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET PHO
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.6%