NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET PHO
Points 111.9 120.6
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 65.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 33.2
Points From Free Throws 17.3 22.4
Shooting DET PHO
Field Goals Made 41.1 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 85.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 32.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 29.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 28.1
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.7%
Ball Control DET PHO
Rebounds 47.3 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 10.3
Turnovers 12.7 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.3
Steals 6.6 7.8
Fouls 20.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET PHO
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 101.4
% of Possessions with DET PHO
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 25.3%
Player Fouled 14.9% 19.7%
Turnover 12.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET PHO
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.2%