NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET POR
Points 114.9 114.0
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 32.9
Points From Free Throws 20.1 19.7
Shooting DET POR
Field Goals Made 42.2 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 88.0
Field Goal % 49.5% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 57.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 20.1 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 24.7
Free Throw % 79.1% 79.7%
Ball Control DET POR
Rebounds 48.9 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.0
Turnovers 14.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.2
Steals 7.0 8.3
Fouls 18.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET POR
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 102.2
% of Possessions with DET POR
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 26.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 17.8%
Turnover 14.3% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET POR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 24.6%