NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET GS
Points 110.4 121.8
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 63.5
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 40.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 17.3
Shooting DET GS
Field Goals Made 40.5 45.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 90.1
Field Goal % 45.2% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 17.5 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.7%
Ball Control DET GS
Rebounds 47.1 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.1
Turnovers 12.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.6
Steals 6.2 7.3
Fouls 17.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET GS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 103.3
% of Possessions with DET GS
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 30.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 16.6%
Turnover 12.4% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET GS
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 25.7%