NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET WAS
Points 118.1 118.6
Total Points   236.7
Points From 2-Pointers 67.6 66.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 34.8
Points From Free Throws 19.6 17.6
Shooting DET WAS
Field Goals Made 44.1 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 89.9
Field Goal % 49.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 33.1
2 Pointers Attempted 59.9 56.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 19.6 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 22.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.8%
Ball Control DET WAS
Rebounds 51.3 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.1
Turnovers 13.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.6
Steals 6.6 7.9
Fouls 17.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET WAS
Total Possessions 105.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 102.6
% of Possessions with DET WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 28.3%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.9%
Turnover 12.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET WAS
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 19.0%