NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR PHI
Points 111.3 117.2
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 35.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.2
Shooting TOR PHI
Field Goals Made 41.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 91.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 22.3
Free Throw % 75.8% 81.7%
Ball Control TOR PHI
Rebounds 48.8 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 13.5
Turnovers 13.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 6.7
Steals 5.9 7.2
Fouls 16.3 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR PHI
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 104.0
% of Possessions with TOR PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.1%
Turnover 13.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR PHI
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.3%