NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR PHI
Points 109.9 120.0
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 38.9
Points From Free Throws 18.5 18.2
Shooting TOR PHI
Field Goals Made 40.3 44.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 91.3
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 56.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 18.5 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 22.3
Free Throw % 76.6% 81.9%
Ball Control TOR PHI
Rebounds 47.8 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.7
Turnovers 13.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 7.4
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 16.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR PHI
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 104.2
% of Possessions with TOR PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.1%
Turnover 13.3% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR PHI
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.1%