NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CHI
Points 112.7 117.9
Total Points   230.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 65.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 36.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.1
Shooting TOR CHI
Field Goals Made 41.6 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 91.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 20.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 80.1%
Ball Control TOR CHI
Rebounds 47.9 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.9
Turnovers 12.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.3
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 16.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CHI
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 103.5
% of Possessions with TOR CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.4%
Turnover 12.4% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CHI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 26.5%