NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CLE
Points 108.2 117.4
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 59.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 42.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.7
Shooting TOR CLE
Field Goals Made 40.8 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 89.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 50.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.4
Free Throw % 75.8% 75.9%
Ball Control TOR CLE
Rebounds 46.4 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.1
Turnovers 12.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.9
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 16.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CLE
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 100.6
% of Possessions with TOR CLE
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 33.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.4%
Turnover 12.1% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CLE
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.6%