NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CLE
Points 112.6 114.5
Total Points   227.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 39.5
Points From Free Throws 18.6 20.2
Shooting TOR CLE
Field Goals Made 41.2 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 84.6
Field Goal % 47.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 47.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 26.4
Free Throw % 75.5% 76.4%
Ball Control TOR CLE
Rebounds 46.7 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 13.0
Turnovers 12.8 14.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 8.4 7.0
Fouls 19.9 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CLE
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 100.6
% of Possessions with TOR CLE
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 31.9%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.5%
Turnover 12.5% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CLE
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 27.5%