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Toronto at Boston
Thu Mar 4, 2021
7:00pm ET
Boston, MA
Toronto at Boston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boston by 8, Total Points: 221
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-1 | 42-36-5 | |
| vs Division | 4-12-0 | 9-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 23-28-1 | 25-24-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 14-27-0 | 23-17-2 | |
| Away | 21-19-1 | 19-19-3 |
Toronto Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | W by 19 | +23.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | W by 11 | +15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Boston | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 29 | +19.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.5 | L by 19 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | New York | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Atlanta | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Atlanta | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 30 | +23.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Boston | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Detroit | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 32 | -30.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Boston | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Houston | +4.5 | L by 29 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | New Orleans | +10.5 | L by 38 | -27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Houston | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Cleveland | +8.5 | L by 24 | -15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | San Antonio | -6.0 | L by 23 | -29.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 28 | +27.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | New Orleans | +9.5 | L by 41 | -31.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Portland | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | Denver | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Orlando | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | Orlando | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | L by 34 | -23.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Okla City | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Washington | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | New York | +14.0 | L by 44 | -30.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Philadelphia | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Minnesota | +17.5 | L by 48 | -30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Milwaukee | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Washington | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Indiana | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 22 | -8.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Miami | +16.0 | L by 15 | +1.0 |
Boston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | New York | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Indiana | -13.0 | W by 51 | +38.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | New York | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.0 | W by 6 | -6.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cleveland | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cleveland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | W by 25 | +29.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Okla City | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Minnesota | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | -15.0 | W by 32 | +17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Toronto | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Houston | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Miami | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | L by 19 | -26.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | New Orleans | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -15.5 | L by 9 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Memphis | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Miami | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New York | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Golden State | -8.0 | W by 52 | +44.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Denver | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Phoenix | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Portland | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 25 | +10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Detroit | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Atlanta | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Atlanta | -16.0 | L by 1 | -17.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | New Orleans | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Charlotte | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Okla City | -12.0 | W by 35 | +23.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| BOS -8.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 850 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Boston won the game 628 times (73.9%).
- The team like Toronto won the game 222 times (26.1%).
- The team like Boston did better against the spread, going 414-413-23 (50.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 72 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston did better against the spread, going 41-30-1 (57.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -9.0 | -8.5 |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/04 07:08 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/04 06:41 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:37 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 03/04 05:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:41 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/04 03:05 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/04 02:47 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/04 02:34 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/04 02:23 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:32 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:29 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:54 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 03/04 12:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:44 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:38 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:14 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/04 12:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:53 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:47 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:38 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/04 10:29 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:17 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/04 09:47 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:24 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
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