NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR BOS
Points 106.0 126.5
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 52.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.0
Shooting TOR BOS
Field Goals Made 40.3 47.0
Field Goals Attempted 94.2 92.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 17.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 43.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 18.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.1%
Ball Control TOR BOS
Rebounds 47.1 55.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.2 42.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.0
Turnovers 11.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 7.7
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 15.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR BOS
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 103.6
% of Possessions with TOR BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 37.8%
Player Fouled 13.7% 15.0%
Turnover 11.2% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR BOS
Shot Blocked 8.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 27.5%