NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR LAC
Points 111.7 121.2
Total Points   232.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.1 63.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 40.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.4
Shooting TOR LAC
Field Goals Made 42.1 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 88.1
Field Goal % 46.5% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.0
Free Throw % 75.8% 82.9%
Ball Control TOR LAC
Rebounds 45.7 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.7
Turnovers 11.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.4
Steals 6.9 6.7
Fouls 16.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR LAC
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 100.5
% of Possessions with TOR LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 29.7%
Player Fouled 15.6% 16.7%
Turnover 11.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR LAC
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.3%