NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR MEM
Points 112.4 113.3
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 41.6
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.9
Shooting TOR MEM
Field Goals Made 41.6 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 90.4
Field Goal % 47.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.7
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.6%
Ball Control TOR MEM
Rebounds 49.0 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 14.0
Turnovers 14.2 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 7.3
Steals 7.7 7.5
Fouls 16.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR MEM
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 102.7
% of Possessions with TOR MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 32.7%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.4%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR MEM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 27.7%