NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR ATL
Points 119.9 123.8
Total Points   243.7
Points From 2-Pointers 65.2 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 43.0
Points From Free Throws 16.5 17.7
Shooting TOR ATL
Field Goals Made 45.3 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 94.3
Field Goal % 49.9% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.3
Free Throw % 75.8% 79.2%
Ball Control TOR ATL
Rebounds 47.1 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 15.4
Turnovers 12.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.2
Steals 7.0 6.6
Fouls 16.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR ATL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 107.5
% of Possessions with TOR ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 31.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.2%
Turnover 12.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR ATL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.5%