NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR UTA
Points 119.7 123.2
Total Points   242.8
Points From 2-Pointers 63.1 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 40.7
Points From Free Throws 17.0 18.2
Shooting TOR UTA
Field Goals Made 44.8 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 91.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 17.0 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 21.8
Free Throw % 76.6% 83.7%
Ball Control TOR UTA
Rebounds 44.7 52.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 14.5
Turnovers 11.3 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.4
Steals 7.9 5.6
Fouls 16.9 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR UTA
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 104.0
% of Possessions with TOR UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.2%
Turnover 10.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR UTA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 31.0%