NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR SAC
Points 111.1 123.3
Total Points   234.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 45.0
Points From Free Throws 18.1 15.0
Shooting TOR SAC
Field Goals Made 40.8 46.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 92.5
Field Goal % 47.0% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 40.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 20.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 74.6%
Ball Control TOR SAC
Rebounds 45.3 51.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.5
Turnovers 13.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.3
Steals 6.9 7.0
Fouls 16.5 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR SAC
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 104.7
% of Possessions with TOR SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 33.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.0%
Turnover 12.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR SAC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 27.9%