NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR IND
Points 116.3 129.5
Total Points   245.8
Points From 2-Pointers 68.3 74.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 40.0
Points From Free Throws 20.3 15.5
Shooting TOR IND
Field Goals Made 43.4 50.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 93.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 34.1 37.0
2 Pointers Attempted 62.5 58.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 20.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 19.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.6%
Ball Control TOR IND
Rebounds 45.9 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.9
Turnovers 12.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 7.1
Steals 6.2 6.6
Fouls 16.7 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR IND
Total Possessions 105.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 105.1
% of Possessions with TOR IND
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.9%
Turnover 12.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR IND
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.3%