NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR IND
Points 116.7 129.6
Total Points   246.3
Points From 2-Pointers 68.6 74.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 40.0
Points From Free Throws 20.5 15.6
Shooting TOR IND
Field Goals Made 43.5 50.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 93.6
Field Goal % 48.4% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 34.3 37.0
2 Pointers Attempted 62.6 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 63.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 20.5 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 20.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.0%
Ball Control TOR IND
Rebounds 46.1 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.0
Turnovers 13.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 7.1
Steals 6.2 6.7
Fouls 16.8 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR IND
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 105.3
% of Possessions with TOR IND
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 16.0%
Turnover 12.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR IND
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 26.3%