NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR SA
Points 113.2 119.5
Total Points   232.7
Points From 2-Pointers 65.0 64.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 40.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.8
Shooting TOR SA
Field Goals Made 43.4 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 91.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.5 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 61.7 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 19.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.6%
Ball Control TOR SA
Rebounds 47.4 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.6
Turnovers 12.5 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 7.4
Steals 8.4 6.3
Fouls 15.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR SA
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 103.4
% of Possessions with TOR SA
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 31.3%
Player Fouled 14.1% 15.2%
Turnover 11.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR SA
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 26.2%