NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR POR
Points 115.7 114.4
Total Points   230.1
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 62.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 36.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.6
Shooting TOR POR
Field Goals Made 43.3 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 92.3
Field Goal % 49.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.7
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.4%
Ball Control TOR POR
Rebounds 46.6 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 15.8
Turnovers 13.1 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.2
Steals 8.2 6.6
Fouls 15.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR POR
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 104.3
% of Possessions with TOR POR
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 17.3% 15.4%
Turnover 12.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR POR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 31.2%