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Toronto at Golden State
Fri Jan 27, 2023
10:00pm ET
San Francisco, CA
Toronto at Golden State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Golden State by 4.5, Total Points: 234.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | GS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-1 | 43-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-12-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-28-1 | 23-29-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 14-27-0 | 16-24-1 | |
| Away | 21-19-1 | 27-15-0 |
Toronto Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | W by 19 | +23.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | W by 11 | +15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Boston | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 29 | +19.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.5 | L by 19 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | New York | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Atlanta | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Atlanta | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 30 | +23.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Boston | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Detroit | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 32 | -30.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Boston | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Houston | +4.5 | L by 29 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | New Orleans | +10.5 | L by 38 | -27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Houston | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Cleveland | +8.5 | L by 24 | -15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | San Antonio | -6.0 | L by 23 | -29.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 28 | +27.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | New Orleans | +9.5 | L by 41 | -31.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Portland | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | Denver | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Orlando | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | Orlando | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | L by 34 | -23.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Okla City | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Washington | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | New York | +14.0 | L by 44 | -30.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Philadelphia | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Minnesota | +17.5 | L by 48 | -30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Milwaukee | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Washington | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Indiana | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 22 | -8.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Miami | +16.0 | L by 15 | +1.0 |
Golden State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | New Orleans | +3.0 | W by 28 | +31.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Sacramento | -7.0 | W by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/03 | Away | Okla City | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 11 | -10.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Minnesota | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Okla City | +3.0 | L by 19 | -16.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Portland | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Okla City | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/14 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Portland | -8.0 | W by 20 | +12.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Denver | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Toronto | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | L by 36 | -33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Chicago | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Sacramento | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Atlanta | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 23 | +20.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Utah | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Utah | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 13 | +0.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | New York | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 52 | -44.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -2.5 | W by 35 | +32.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | San Antonio | -12.5 | L by 13 | -25.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | San Antonio | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Dallas | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | New York | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Miami | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Orlando | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 03/31 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 23 | +20.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Portland | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 04/16 | Away | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| GS -4.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1082 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Golden State won the game 701 times (64.8%).
- The team like Toronto won the game 381 times (35.2%).
- The team like Golden State did better against the spread, going 553-512-17 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 459 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Golden State did better against the spread, going 234-216-9 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/27 10:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:43 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:33 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:13 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:03 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:43 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:33 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:10 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:03 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:16 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:13 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 07:03 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 06:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:23 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 06:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 05:23 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 05:10 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:55 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:13 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 01:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:16 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:43 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 12:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:33 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 11:58 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:43 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 11:43 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:33 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 11:07 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:25 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:01 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:43 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 08:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:35 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:04 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:33 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/27 07:22 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:19 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:04 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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