NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR GS
Points 112.6 124.8
Total Points   237.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 63.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 46.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 14.8
Shooting TOR GS
Field Goals Made 41.8 47.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 93.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 53.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 15.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 16.9 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.7%
Ball Control TOR GS
Rebounds 45.8 53.9
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 14.5
Turnovers 12.1 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.7
Steals 7.2 6.1
Fouls 15.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR GS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 104.8
% of Possessions with TOR GS
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 33.1%
Player Fouled 16.0% 15.1%
Turnover 11.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR GS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 30.3%