NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR WAS
Points 120.7 120.5
Total Points   241.2
Points From 2-Pointers 70.4 66.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 39.3
Points From Free Throws 19.0 14.9
Shooting TOR WAS
Field Goals Made 45.6 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 92.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 35.2 33.1
2 Pointers Attempted 60.8 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 19.4
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.8%
Ball Control TOR WAS
Rebounds 50.5 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.8
Turnovers 12.8 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.8
Steals 7.6 6.6
Fouls 16.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR WAS
Total Possessions 105.9
Effective Scoring Chances 106.1 103.5
% of Possessions with TOR WAS
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.4%
Turnover 12.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR WAS
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 22.4%