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Houston at Milwaukee
Fri May 7, 2021
8:00pm ET
Milwaukee, WI
Houston at Milwaukee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 17.5, Total Points: 233.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-35-2 | 35-46-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 5-12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 30-20-2 | 25-26-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 27-13-1 | 19-21-1 | |
| Away | 18-22-1 | 16-25-0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Orlando | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.0 | W by 34 | +36.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | W by 8 | +17.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Memphis | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New Orleans | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Chicago | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 32 | -17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 34 | +29.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New York | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Phoenix | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Sacramento | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Washington | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Okla City | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Utah | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| MIL -17.5 | Open | -15.5 | High | -17.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 48 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 47 times (97.9%).
- The team like Houston won the game 1 times (2.1%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 26-22 (54.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1248 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 620-601-27 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.5 | -16.5 | -17.5 |
| Open | -17.0 | -16.5 | -16.5 |
| History | |||
| 05/07 08:05 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 05/07 07:47 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 07:22 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 07:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 05/07 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 05/07 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 05/07 06:44 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 05/07 06:43 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 06:41 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 05/07 06:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 05/07 06:19 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 05:59 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 05:40 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 05:20 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 04:52 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 02:28 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 01:08 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 12:49 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 11:37 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 11:23 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 11:04 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 10:49 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 10:04 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 05/07 09:56 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/07 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 05/07 09:40 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
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