ATS Situational Trends

Record HOU adv MIA
Season 41-29-2 34-37-1
vs Division 7-6-1 8-6-0
vs Conference 27-15-2 22-22-1
Streak W7 L1
Last 5 5-0-0 2-3-0
Last 10 9-1-0 4-6-0
Home 26-10-1 13-22-0
Away 15-19-1 21-15-1

Houston Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Away Orlando +4.5 L by 30 -25.5
10/27 Away San Antonio +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
10/29 Home Golden State +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
11/01 Home Charlotte -3.0 W by 9 +6.0
11/04 Home Sacramento +2.5 W by 18 +20.5
11/06 Home Sacramento +2.0 W by 25 +27.0
11/08 Home LA Lakers +2.0 W by 34 +36.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -3.0 W by 3 0.0
11/12 Home Denver +5.0 W by 3 +8.0
11/17 Away LA Clippers +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
11/19 Away LA Lakers +6.0 L by 1 +5.0
11/20 Away Golden State +7.0 L by 5 +2.0
11/22 Home Memphis -5.0 W by 20 +15.0
11/24 Home Denver +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
11/28 Away Dallas +4.0 L by 6 -2.0
11/29 Away Denver +10.0 L by 10 0.0
12/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
12/06 Home Okla City +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/08 Away Denver +9.0 W by 8 +17.0
12/11 Home San Antonio -9.0 W by 11 +2.0
12/13 Home Memphis -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
12/15 Away Memphis -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
12/17 Away Milwaukee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
12/18 Away Cleveland +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
12/20 Home Atlanta -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
12/22 Home Dallas -8.5 W by 26 +17.5
12/23 Away New Orleans +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
12/26 Home Indiana -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
12/27 Home Phoenix +3.0 L by 16 -13.0
12/29 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
01/01 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 23 +13.5
01/03 Home Brooklyn -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
01/05 Home Minnesota +4.0 L by 27 -23.0
01/06 Home Milwaukee +7.0 W by 4 +11.0
01/08 Away Miami +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
01/10 Away Chicago +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
01/12 Away Detroit -9.0 W by 2 -7.0
01/13 Away Boston +15.0 L by 32 -17.0
01/15 Away Philadelphia +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
01/17 Away New York +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
01/20 Home Utah -2.0 W by 1 -1.0
01/21 Home Boston +11.0 L by 9 +2.0
01/24 Home Portland -10.0 L by 6 -16.0
01/26 Away Charlotte -5.0 W by 34 +29.0
01/27 Away Brooklyn +4.0 L by 2 +2.0
01/29 Home LA Lakers +1.0 W by 16 +17.0
01/31 Home New Orleans -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/02 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
02/04 Away Minnesota +7.5 L by 21 -13.5
02/06 Away Indiana +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/09 Away Toronto +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
02/10 Away Atlanta +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/12 Home New York -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
02/14 Away Memphis -2.0 L by 8 -10.0
02/22 Away New Orleans +6.5 L by 22 -15.5
02/23 Home Phoenix +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
02/25 Home Okla City +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
02/27 Away Okla City +10.0 L by 17 -7.0
02/29 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
03/02 Away Phoenix +9.0 W by 9 +18.0
03/05 Home San Antonio -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
03/06 Home LA Clippers +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/08 Away Portland -6.5 W by 16 +9.5
03/10 Away Sacramento +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
03/12 Away San Antonio -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
03/14 Home Washington -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
03/16 Home Cleveland +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
03/19 Away Washington -10.0 W by 23 +13.0
03/21 Home Chicago -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
03/23 Home Utah -10.5 W by 28 +17.5
03/25 Home Portland -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
03/27 Away Okla City +4.5 W by 6 +10.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
10/27 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
11/03 Home Washington -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/08 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
11/11 Away Atlanta +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/14 Away Charlotte -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/18 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/20 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
11/22 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
11/24 Away New York +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
11/28 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
11/30 Home Indiana -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
12/02 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/06 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
12/08 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/11 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/13 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/14 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
12/16 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/18 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/20 Away Orlando +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
12/22 Home Atlanta -1.0 W by 9 +8.0
12/25 Home Philadelphia -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
12/28 Away Golden State +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
12/30 Away Utah -3.0 L by 8 -11.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
01/03 Away LA Lakers +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
01/05 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/08 Home Houston -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/12 Home Orlando -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
01/15 Away Brooklyn -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/17 Away Toronto -3.0 L by 24 -27.0
01/19 Home Atlanta -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/21 Away Orlando +1.0 L by 18 -17.0
01/24 Home Memphis -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/25 Home Boston +8.5 L by 33 -24.5
01/27 Away New York +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
01/29 Home Phoenix -2.0 L by 13 -15.0
01/31 Home Sacramento -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
02/02 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home LA Clippers +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
02/06 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
02/07 Home San Antonio -8.0 W by 12 +4.0
02/11 Home Boston +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee +7.0 W by 26 +33.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/23 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/26 Away Sacramento +7.5 W by 11 +18.5
02/27 Away Portland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/29 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/02 Home Utah -9.0 W by 6 -3.0
03/05 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
03/07 Away Dallas +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/08 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 7 +1.5
03/10 Home Washington -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
03/13 Home Denver +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/15 Away Detroit -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
03/17 Away Detroit -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
03/18 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
03/20 Away Cleveland +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
03/22 Home New Orleans -3.0 L by 23 -26.0
03/24 Home Cleveland -3.5 W by 37 +33.5
03/26 Home Golden State +5.0 L by 21 -16.0
MIA -4.5 Open -10.0 High -10.0
Last -5.0 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1095 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 731 times (66.8%).
  • The team like Houston won the game 364 times (33.2%).
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 552-522-21 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 14-10 (58.3% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -5.0 -4.5 -5.0
Open -8.5 -9.0 -9.5
History
04/19 08:14 PM -- -4.5 --
04/19 08:05 PM -5.0 -- -5.0
04/19 07:54 PM -- -4.5 --
04/19 07:41 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 07:29 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 07:05 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 07:04 PM -- -4.5 --
04/19 06:55 PM -- -- -4.5
04/19 06:54 PM -- -5.0 --
04/19 06:50 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 06:47 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 06:37 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 06:35 PM -- -- -5.0
04/19 06:34 PM -- -5.0 --
04/19 06:29 PM -4.5 -- --
04/19 06:17 PM -5.0 -- --
04/19 05:29 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 05:14 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 05:05 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 04:59 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 04:44 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 04:35 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 03:47 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 03:29 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 02:44 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 02:23 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 02:15 PM -- -- -6.5
04/19 02:08 PM -6.5 -- --
04/19 02:04 PM -- -6.5 --
04/19 01:56 PM -6.0 -- --
04/19 01:46 PM -6.0 -- --
04/19 01:35 PM -- -- -8.0
04/19 01:26 PM -8.5 -- --
04/19 01:24 PM -- -8.5 --
04/19 01:17 PM -8.5 -- --
04/19 01:15 PM -- -- -8.5
04/19 12:41 PM -8.5 -- --
04/19 12:23 PM -8.5 -- --
04/19 12:11 PM -8.0 -- --
04/19 12:02 PM -8.0 -- --
04/19 11:29 AM -8.0 -- --
04/19 10:35 AM -8.0 -- --
04/19 10:04 AM -- -8.0 --
04/19 09:56 AM -8.0 -- --
04/19 09:54 AM -- -8.5 --
04/19 09:45 AM -- -- -8.0
04/19 09:44 AM -- -9.0 --
04/19 09:41 AM -8.0 -- --
04/19 09:38 AM -8.5 -- --
04/19 07:55 AM -- -- -9.5